03 · What You Need to Know
The Decisions That Usually Need to Be Settled Early
Fix the research questions, objectives, and primary hypotheses
The study needs a stable statement of what it is principally trying to answer. If the central research question changes after researchers begin seeing the data, the resulting analysis may still generate a useful finding, but it should not automatically be presented as though that had been the original question.
Where hypotheses are appropriate, specify the primary hypotheses before relevant results are known. Exploratory questions can coexist with confirmatory ones, but the distinction should remain visible.
This is also the point at which the research team should confirm that the protocol actually matches the research questions, objectives, and hypotheses. A beautifully prespecified analysis is not helpful if it answers a different question.
Define who or what is eligible for the study
Eligibility criteria determine the population or material from which the evidence is drawn. In participant research, this may include inclusion and exclusion criteria. In other studies, it may involve rules for selecting records, documents, schools, organizations, observations, specimens, cases, or datasets.
These criteria should generally be established before researchers know which inclusion rules produce more favorable findings. Otherwise, apparently methodological exclusions can become a way of reshaping the dataset after its patterns are visible.
This does not mean that every unforeseen eligibility problem is prohibited from correction. If a criterion proves unsafe, infeasible, ambiguous, or scientifically inappropriate, an amendment may be warranted. The important issue is transparency about what changed and why.
Set the sampling and recruitment strategy
Decide how eligible units will be identified and selected or how participants will be approached and recruited. Where relevant, specify the sampling frame, sampling technique, strata or clusters, recruitment channels, target sample size, allocation ratios, stopping rules, or other design-specific features.
Sample-size justification should also be completed when required by the methodology. For some quantitative designs, this may involve power or precision calculations. Other designs use different principles for determining an appropriate sample.
Sampling cannot be planned independently of measurement and analysis. The sampling, measurement, data collection, and analysis plans need to operate as a coherent system.
Define the primary outcomes, variables, constructs, or phenomena
Decide what evidence will represent the concepts in the research question. In quantitative studies, this may require identifying primary and secondary outcomes, predictors, exposures, covariates, and operational definitions. In qualitative research, it may involve specifying the phenomenon of interest, sampling logic, domains of inquiry, and initial data-generation strategy without prematurely fixing findings that should emerge through analysis.
The distinction between primary and secondary outcomes is especially important when several plausible outcomes could be emphasized. SPIRIT 2025 requires randomized trial protocols to define primary and secondary outcomes, including the specific measurement variable, analysis metric, aggregation method, and time point for each outcome.
Choosing which outcome matters most after discovering which one produces the strongest result undermines the informational value of calling it "primary."
Choose or define the measurement approach
Before collecting substantive data, identify how key variables or constructs will be measured. This can include instruments, scales, tests, observation systems, interview procedures, devices, administrative records, coding schemes, or laboratory methods.
Important details may include which instrument version will be used, how scores are calculated, who administers the measure, when it is administered, what language or adaptation is used, and what procedures ensure consistency.
Pilot testing can legitimately lead to revisions before the main study. That is one reason pilot work should be distinguished from the definitive data collection it is intended to prepare.
Set the main data collection procedures
The protocol should establish what participants or study units will experience and how observations will be generated. Relevant decisions can include procedure sequence, intervention or exposure conditions, assessment schedule, interview format, follow-up intervals, instructions, recording methods, and responsibilities of research personnel.
If several people or sites collect data, greater procedural specification may be needed to avoid systematic differences in implementation. This is where an adequately detailed research protocol becomes operational rather than merely descriptive.
Decide how important exclusions and problematic observations will be handled
Researchers frequently encounter incomplete questionnaires, protocol deviations, failed measurements, duplicate records, ineligible cases, attrition, missing observations, and unusual values. Not every situation can be anticipated, but foreseeable decision rules should be considered before researchers know how those rules affect the results.
For example, if a questionnaire contains several multi-item scales, determine whether partially completed scales will be scored and under what conditions. If an analysis excludes participants who fail to complete follow-up, consider in advance whether that exclusion is methodologically defensible and what alternative handling of missing data may be required.
Prespecify the primary analytical approach
The analysis plan should explain how the main research question will be answered using the data that will actually be collected. The necessary specificity varies by methodology and study design.
For quantitative research, consequential decisions can include the primary statistical model or test, outcome definition, analysis population, covariates, treatment of missing data, transformations, multiple-testing adjustments, subgroup analyses, and sensitivity analyses where applicable. SPIRIT 2025 guidance emphasizes that prespecifying analyses can reduce the risk of selectively reporting the most interesting results from multiple possible analytical approaches.
For qualitative research, prespecification does not mean determining themes before reading the data. It means documenting the methodological and analytical approach, such as how material will be prepared, coded, compared, interpreted, and reviewed, while preserving the forms of responsiveness that the methodology legitimately requires.
Prespecifying the analytical process
Deciding in advance how evidence will be approached, processed, and evaluated.
Predetermining the findings
Deciding in advance what patterns, themes, relationships, or conclusions the data are supposed to produce.
The former supports transparency. The latter is not the purpose of a protocol.
Set ethical and data-protection procedures before participants or sensitive data are involved
Decisions affecting informed consent, privacy, confidentiality, access to identifiable information, participant burden, foreseeable risks, compensation, withdrawal, data security, and other protections should be addressed before the relevant research activity begins.
Where ethics committee or institutional review board approval is required, the approved study documents govern what researchers are authorized to do. For randomized trials, SPIRIT 2025 states that the full protocol must be submitted for research ethics committee or institutional review board approval before participants are enrolled.
Applicable requirements differ across jurisdictions, institutions, and study types, so researchers should verify the rules governing their own work.
Decide how protocol changes will be recognized and documented
Prespecification loses much of its value if the original plan can simply be overwritten. Establish how protocol versions, amendments, dates, approvals, and reasons for changes will be recorded.
SPIRIT 2025 describes randomized trial protocols as living documents that may be formally amended and recommends a transparent audit trail across versions. The same general documentation principle is useful more broadly whenever changes to important methodological decisions need to be distinguished from the original plan.
A clear protocol version and change history preserves both plans rather than forcing researchers to pretend that the first plan was perfect.
Not everything belongs on the fixed side of the boundary
Some decisions genuinely depend on what happens during the study. Qualitative sampling may evolve in response to emerging analytical needs. A recruitment strategy may need adjustment if an intended channel becomes unavailable. A planned statistical model may require modification if its assumptions are seriously violated.
The important distinction is between justified responsiveness and result-driven flexibility. Instead of trying to eliminate all adaptation, identify which research decisions can legitimately remain flexible and define the conditions governing that flexibility where possible.
Watch Out
"We will decide after looking at the data" is not a neutral plan when the decision could determine which result becomes the headline finding. If a choice can reasonably be made before relevant results are known, prespecifying it usually provides a clearer record of the study's original intent.